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Table 5 Predictive model of poor evolution at 6 months

From: Searching for a prognostic index in lupus nephritis

Variables

Model

OR

Model

p value

Age (years)

1.04 [0.98–1.11]

0.180

SLEDAI

0.99 [0.85–1.15]

0.922

SCr (mg/dl)

0.91 [0.13–6.10]

0.921

Proteinuria (g/24 h)

0.83 [0.49–1.38]

0.467

Chronicity index

0.76 [0.26–2.23]

0.614

Thrombocytopenia*

22.0 [1.07–452.5]

0.045 **

Fibrosis

33.6 [1.31–861.4]

0.034 **

Glucocorticoids

0.32 [0.05–2.01]

0.233

Low C3

0.48 [0.04–5.14]

0.543

Constant

0.038 [0–3.83]

0.165

HL

 

0.156

AUC

0.897 (0.780–1.000)

 

Best cut point

Pr predicted ≥ 0.243

S = 90.9%

E = 88.7%

% CC = 89.1

 
  1. SLEDAI Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index, Scr. serum creatinine, HL Hosmer–Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, Pr probability, S sensitivity, E specificity; CC correct classification; **: statistically significant
  2. * < 50.000 platelets/mm3